Stop Sleeping on These Draft-Day Steals: Kyler Murray, Kenny Gainwell & More
Draft season is officially here, and this is where fantasy titles are won and lost. While everyone else is chasing the same big-name stars, the real winners are locking in players who are being drafted way too low. These are the values, the sleepers, and the breakout candidates you need to know before your draft.
Quarterbacks Who Will Outperform Their ADP
Jaxson Dart, New York Giants (ADP: QB7)
Dart was quietly elite last season, averaging 22.6 fantasy points in his 12 starts and dropping eight top-10 weekly finishes. He did that while basically missing Malik Nabers for most of the year. Now Nabers is back, and Isaiah Likely and Darnell Mooney are in the mix. With 487 rushing yards and nine rushing touchdowns already on his résumé, the ceiling is massive.
Dak Prescott, Dallas Cowboys (ADP: QB9)
Prescott finished as QB6 last year while leading a top-five offense in pass attempts, yards, and scoring. With CeeDee Lamb and George Pickens as his one-two punch, Prescott doesn't need to run to be a fantasy star. He just needs to keep feeding two elite receivers who can win anywhere on the field.
Kyler Murray, Minnesota Vikings (ADP: QB17)
This is the discount of the century. Murray was a top-12 fantasy QB in points per game in each of his first six seasons, and now he lands with Kevin O'Connell and weapons like Justin Jefferson, Jordan Addison, and T.J. Hockenson. The rushing upside is still there. The supporting cast is the best of his career. QB17? Absolutely not.
Running Backs Ready to Smash
Omarion Hampton, Los Angeles Chargers (ADP: RB13)
Hampton averaged 17.3 touches and 15.1 fantasy points per game as a rookie, but injuries limited him to nine games. Now Mike McDaniel is running the offense, and we've seen what he can do with a versatile back like De'Von Achane. The breakout is coming.
Breece Hall, New York Jets (ADP: RB15)
Hall has been held back by a brutal offense, not by talent. He's handled at least 266 touches in three straight seasons, is just 25 years old, and has already proved he can be an RB1. With Geno Smith at quarterback, the Jets offense should finally give Hall the scoring chances he's been missing.
Cam Skattebo, New York Giants (ADP: RB18)
Skattebo was on fire before his ankle injury, averaging 19.1 fantasy points across six full games with 22 red zone carries in that stretch. Now John Harbaugh brings his run-heavy attack to New York, and Skattebo is the lead dog. That workload is going to be delicious.
Kenny Gainwell, Tampa Bay Buccaneers (ADP: RB32)
Gainwell has averaged 18.6 fantasy points in 10 career games with 14-plus touches. With Bucky Irving battling injuries and efficiency issues, don't be shocked if Tampa Bay's backfield turns into a full-blown committee. At RB32, you're getting a potential league-winner at a bench price.
Wide Receivers Worth the Reach
Garrett Wilson, New York Jets (ADP: WR13)
Wilson has topped 1,000 yards in every season of his career and was the WR9 in 2024. Before his knee injury last year, he was averaging 19.0 fantasy points per game. The Jets can't possibly be worse in the passing game, and Wilson will be the biggest beneficiary.
Terry McLaurin, Washington Commanders (ADP: WR23)
Scary Terry is being drafted like a WR2, but we've seen WR1 upside. In 2024, he finished as the WR7 with 13 scores. The new offensive coordinator wants him at 10 targets per game, and that kind of volume at this ADP is a steal.
Michael Pittman Jr., Pittsburgh Steelers (ADP: WR31)
Pittman has quietly produced for years, and now he gets Mike McCarthy's offense plus Aaron Rodgers at quarterback. With DK Metcalf stretching the field, Pittman will feast underneath. This is a perfect scheme fit at a discount.
Jakobi Meyers, Jacksonville Jaguars (ADP: WR41)
Meyers has topped 800 yards in five straight seasons, and he immediately earned Trevor Lawrence's trust after arriving in Jacksonville. A full offseason together? That's a recipe for a massive return on investment at WR41.
Tight End Target
Harold Fannin Jr., Cleveland Browns (ADP: TE7)
Fannin was already the TE6 as a rookie while leading the Browns in every receiving category. Now David Njoku is gone, and Todd Monken is calling the shots. Monken loves featuring tight ends. The volume is about to get even bigger.
Late-Round Gems
Blake Corum, RB, Los Angeles Rams (RB40)
Corum averaged 5.1 yards per carry behind one of the best offensive lines in football. If Kyren Williams misses any time, Corum is an instant RB1.
Josh Downs, WR, Indianapolis Colts (WR44)
With Pittman gone, there are 111 targets up for grabs in Indy. Downs saw 107 targets in 2024 and was a reliable PPR machine. Grab the discount.
Chris Godwin Jr., WR, Tampa Bay Buccaneers (WR53)
Health is the only question. When Godwin is on the field, he's been a fantasy monster, and he's expected to return to the slot in a McVay-style offense. At WR53, that's pure upside.
Jalen Coker, WR, Carolina Panthers (WR58)
The Panthers extended him and didn't add another receiver. Coker was already Bryce Young's trusted target before getting hurt, then went off in the playoffs. Late-round heroes are made like this.
Cam Ward, QB, Tennessee Titans (QB26)
Ward was much better after Tennessee's bye, throwing 10 touchdowns to just one interception. With Brian Daboll running the offense and a shiny new receiver corps, Ward is a prime Year 2 breakout waiting to happen.
Don't overthink it. These are the players who will carry your team while everyone else wonders how they missed the value. Lock them in and go win.